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Central Coast Mariners
Australian A-League | Gameweek 11
Jan 7, 2023 at 6am UK
Central Coast Stadium
Adelaide United

Central Coast
4 - 0
Adelaide United

Popovic (31' og.), N'Kololo (48'), Madanha (55' og.), Farrell (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Clough (49'), Juande (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Adelaide United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions
Last Game: Central Coast 2-1 Victory
Saturday, December 31 at 8am in Australian A-League

Adelaide United

All competitions
Last Game: Adelaide United 2-0 Perth Glory
Monday, January 2 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

We said: Central Coast Mariners 2-0 Adelaide United

 Recent history indicates that Central Coast Mariners are the likely victors on Saturday, with the Yellow & Navy winning their last three home matches against the visitors. Not only that, but Adelaide United have struggled when they have played the better teams in the division so far this season, and the hosts are definitely in that category. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.

Result
Central Coast MarinersDrawAdelaide United
46.02% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08) 23.21% (0.0010000000000012 0) 30.76% (0.071000000000002 0.07)
Both teams to score 62.37% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.14% (0.024999999999999 0.02)38.85% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.83% (0.027000000000001 0.03)61.17% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.75% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)17.24% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.45% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)47.55% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.36% (0.053999999999988 0.05)24.63% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.85% (0.079000000000001 0.08)59.15% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Central Coast Mariners 46.02%
    Adelaide United 30.76%
    Draw 23.21%
Central Coast MarinersDrawAdelaide United
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.47% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.56% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.39% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.85% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.37% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.69% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.66%
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 46.02%
1-1 @ 10.46%
2-2 @ 6.44% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.25% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.21%
1-2 @ 7.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.95% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.17% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.42% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.01% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.95% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 30.76%

How you voted: Central Coast vs Adelaide United

Central Coast Mariners
70.6%
Draw
11.8%
Adelaide United
17.6%
17
Head to Head
May 15, 2022 7.05am
Adelaide United
3-1
Central Coast
Goodwin (26'), Yengi (67'), Oliveira (90+2')
Sanchez (19'), Goodwin (64')
Roux (71')
Farrell (34'), Steele (44')
Mar 26, 2022 8.45am
Central Coast
3-0
Adelaide United
Urena (77'), Cummings (90+1'), Hatch (90+3')
Moresche (85')
Moresche (90+5')

Juande (73'), Lopez (89')
Gauci (27')
Feb 26, 2022 8.45am
Adelaide United
2-1
Central Coast
Ibusuki (52'), Irankunda (90+2')
Tratt (67'), Kitto (86')
N'Kololo (35')
Rowles (48'), Farrell (65'), Balard (89')
Apr 1, 2021 9.40am
Central Coast
2-1
Adelaide United
Bozanic (72'), Kuol (76')
Yengi (48')
Cavallo (78')
Feb 19, 2021 8.05am
Adelaide United
3-2
Central Coast
Juric (34' pen., 70' pen., 83' pen.)
Yengi (90+5')
De Silva (15'), Kuol (63')
Tongyik (16'), Urena (24'), Nigro (62'), Rowles (83'), Stajcic (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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