Brisbane Roar

2 - 3

Adelaide United

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 37.86% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (4.95%) and 1-3 (4.94%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.