Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 59.79%. A win for Western United had a probability of 20.65% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.34%) and 3-1 (7.19%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (5.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Adelaide United in this match.