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Central Coast Mariners
Australian A-League | Gameweek 14
Jan 27, 2024 at 8.45am UK
Central Coast Stadium
Brisbane Roar

Central Coast
2 - 0
Brisbane Roar

Di Pizio (38'), Torres (90')
Farrell (53'), Wilson (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hingert (55'), Brown (77'), Trewin (81'), Armiento (85'), Aldred (90+3')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Brisbane Roar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Central Coast 2-1 Melbourne City
Sunday, January 21 at 7am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 3-1 Brisbane Roar
Tuesday, January 23 at 8am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 56.34%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 23.6% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.87%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.

Result
Central Coast MarinersDrawBrisbane Roar
56.34% (-5.25 -5.25) 20.05% (1.407 1.41) 23.6% (3.84 3.84)
Both teams to score 67.57% (0.509 0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.66% (-1.743 -1.74)29.33% (1.739 1.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.61% (-2.152 -2.15)50.38% (2.147 2.15)
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.39% (-1.777 -1.78)10.61% (1.7741 1.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.59% (-4.138 -4.14)34.4% (4.134 4.13)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.59% (2.03 2.03)24.41% (-2.032 -2.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.17% (2.779 2.78)58.83% (-2.783 -2.78)
Score Analysis
    Central Coast Mariners 56.34%
    Brisbane Roar 23.6%
    Draw 20.05%
Central Coast MarinersDrawBrisbane Roar
2-1 @ 9.19% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.87% (-0.526 -0.53)
2-0 @ 6.52% (-0.36 -0.36)
1-0 @ 5.81% (0.141 0.14)
3-0 @ 4.87% (-0.689 -0.69)
3-2 @ 4.85% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
4-1 @ 3.86% (-0.634 -0.63)
4-0 @ 2.73% (-0.64 -0.64)
4-2 @ 2.72% (-0.267 -0.27)
5-1 @ 1.73% (-0.449 -0.45)
4-3 @ 1.28% (-0.046 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.23% (-0.411 -0.41)
5-2 @ 1.22% (-0.229 -0.23)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 56.34%
1-1 @ 8.19% (0.652 0.65)
2-2 @ 6.48% (0.395 0.4)
0-0 @ 2.59% (0.254 0.25)
3-3 @ 2.28% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 20.05%
1-2 @ 5.78% (0.761 0.76)
0-1 @ 3.65% (0.544 0.54)
2-3 @ 3.05% (0.348 0.35)
1-3 @ 2.72% (0.491 0.49)
0-2 @ 2.57% (0.508 0.51)
0-3 @ 1.21% (0.294 0.29)
2-4 @ 1.07% (0.177 0.18)
1-4 @ 0.96% (0.217 0.22)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 23.6%

Head to Head
Dec 21, 2023 9am
Gameweek 9
Brisbane Roar
0-3
Central Coast

Armiento (11')
Tulio (27'), Torres (56', 90+7')
Farrell (89')
Nov 12, 2023 6am
Gameweek 4
Central Coast
1-2
Brisbane Roar
Kuol (31')
Theoharous (40')
Steele (63')
Berenguer (19'), Waddingham (41')
Aldred (23'), Caletti (45+4'), Burke-Gilroy (54'), Neville (86')
Caletti (57')
Apr 1, 2023 7am
Gameweek 22
Central Coast
4-1
Brisbane Roar
Tulio (15'), Nisbet (17'), Holmes (30' og.), Cummings (58' pen.)
O'Shea (82' pen.)
Feb 10, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 16
Brisbane Roar
1-2
Central Coast
O'Shea (23' pen.)
Tulio (19'), N'Kololo (69' pen.)
May 3, 2022 10.05am
Gameweek 9
Brisbane Roar
0-2
Central Coast

Neville (86')
Miller (40'), Kuol (63')
Farrell (41'), Goddard (44'), Steele (88')
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