Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 48.22%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.95%) and 2-0 (5.52%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
48.22% ( -1.35) | 21.35% ( 0.22) | 30.42% ( 1.13) |
Both teams to score 69.21% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.16% ( -0.4) | 29.83% ( 0.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.01% ( -0.48) | 50.99% ( 0.48) |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.92% ( -0.56) | 13.07% ( 0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.32% ( -1.15) | 39.68% ( 1.15) |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.61% ( 0.43) | 20.38% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.2% ( 0.68) | 52.8% ( -0.67) |
Score Analysis |
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
2-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.12) 4-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.09) 5-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.27% Total : 48.22% | 1-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 2.51% ( -0) Other @ 0.58% Total : 21.35% | 1-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.64% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.11) 2-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.08) 3-4 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.92% Total : 30.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
5 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 11 |
7 | Macarthur | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 9 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
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