Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 56.31%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 21.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 1-2 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Sydney FC | Draw | Perth Glory |
56.31% ( -0.14) | 21.93% ( -0.02) | 21.76% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 57.98% ( 0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.3% ( 0.33) | 40.7% ( -0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.91% ( 0.34) | 63.09% ( -0.34) |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.68% ( 0.07) | 14.32% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.86% ( 0.13) | 42.14% ( -0.13) |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.67% ( 0.35) | 32.33% ( -0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.17% ( 0.39) | 68.83% ( -0.39) |
Score Analysis |
Sydney FC | Draw | Perth Glory |
2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 3.13% Total : 56.31% | 1-1 @ 10.15% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.92% | 1-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 21.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 10 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
4 | Auckland FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
6 | Macarthur | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
8 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
9 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 |
10 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 4 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 16 | -14 | 1 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 0 |
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