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Sydney FC
Australian A-League | Gameweek 7
Dec 10, 2022 at 8.45am UK
Netstrata Jubilee Stadium
Melbourne City

Sydney FC
2 - 1
Melbourne City

Lolley (23'), le Fondre (61')
Brattan (32')
FT(HT: 1-1)
MacLaren (22' pen.)
Berisha (9'), MacLaren (57'), Lam (60'), Glover (90+3'), Jamieson (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Melbourne City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sydney FC 0-1 Western Sydney
Saturday, November 12 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 1-2 Melbourne City
Saturday, November 12 at 6am in Australian A-League

We said: Sydney FC 0-2 Melbourne City

In the early portion of the campaign, Melbourne City look as determined as ever to return to the Finals series and avenge their defeat in the Grand Final. Their depth up front and poise along the backline should make life difficult for Sydney, who have allowed far too many quality chances to this point of the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 55.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Sydney FC had a probability of 21.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.82%) and 0-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Sydney FC win it was 2-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Sydney FCDrawMelbourne City
21.85% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07) 22.6% (-0.055 -0.05) 55.54% (0.129 0.13)
Both teams to score 55.79% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.33% (0.155 0.16)43.67% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.94% (0.152 0.15)66.06% (-0.151 -0.15)
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.09% (0.018000000000001 0.02)33.91% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.42% (0.02 0.02)70.58% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.41% (0.099000000000004 0.1)15.58% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.44% (0.183 0.18)44.55% (-0.18 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Sydney FC 21.85%
    Melbourne City 55.54%
    Draw 22.6%
Sydney FCDrawMelbourne City
2-1 @ 5.75% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.72% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 3.09% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.07% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.11% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 21.85%
1-1 @ 10.62% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 5.28% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.6%
1-2 @ 9.87% (0.0040000000000013 0)
0-1 @ 9.82% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 9.13%
1-3 @ 6.12% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-3 @ 5.66% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.31% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.84% (0.02 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.63% (0.018 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.54% (0.012 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.06% (0.011 0.01)
0-5 @ 0.98% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 55.54%

How you voted: Sydney FC vs Melbourne City

Sydney FC
10.0%
Draw
15.0%
Melbourne City
75.0%
20
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2022 10.05am
Melbourne City
4-0
Sydney FC
Bos (26'), Leckie (55', 72'), MacLaren (70')

le Fondre (32'), Yazbek (35'), Talbot (90+1')
Feb 26, 2022 8.45am
Sydney FC
1-2
Melbourne City
Ninkovic (53')
Grant (41'), O'Toole (66'), Barbarouses (90+2')
Retre (32' og.), Leckie (90+1')
Berenguer (72'), MacLaren (74')
Jun 27, 2021 8.05am
Melbourne City
3-1
Sydney FC
Atkinson (23'), Jamieson (45+1' pen.), Galloway (90+3')
Tilio (54'), Colakovski (73')
Barbarouses (21')
Brattan (25')
Brattan (35')
Apr 10, 2021 8.05am
Feb 23, 2021 8.05am
Melbourne City
3-2
Sydney FC
MacLaren (8', 54'), Luna (28')
Metcalfe (59')
Ninkovic (72'), Wood (90')
Wilkinson (11'), Retre (30'), Grant (30'), Caceres (36'), McGowan (77')
rhs 2.0
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