Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.56%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wellington Phoenix in this match.
Result | ||
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
40.1% ( -1.06) | 24.13% ( -0.12) | 35.77% ( 1.18) |
Both teams to score 60.81% ( 0.68) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.34% ( 0.78) | 41.66% ( -0.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.94% ( 0.79) | 64.06% ( -0.78) |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.08% ( -0.16) | 20.92% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.35% ( -0.25) | 53.65% ( 0.25) |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.9% ( 1.01) | 23.1% ( -1.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.05% ( 1.46) | 56.95% ( -1.46) |
Score Analysis |
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.31) 2-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.78% Total : 40.1% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.13% | 1-2 @ 8.12% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.96% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.11) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.26% Total : 35.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
5 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 11 |
7 | Macarthur | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 9 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
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