Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sydney FC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sydney FC.
Result | ||
Sydney FC | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
44.25% ( -0.16) | 24.78% ( -0.02) | 30.98% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 56.93% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.96% ( 0.18) | 46.05% ( -0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.65% ( 0.17) | 68.35% ( -0.17) |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.13% ( 0.01) | 20.87% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.42% ( 0.01) | 53.58% ( -0) |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.95% ( 0.21) | 28.05% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.3% ( 0.26) | 63.7% ( -0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Sydney FC | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
1-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.77% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 44.25% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.78% | 0-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.41% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.79% Total : 30.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
5 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 11 |
7 | Macarthur | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 9 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
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