Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.
Result | ||
Western United | Draw | Perth Glory |
43.99% ( -0.25) | 25.75% ( 0.08) | 30.26% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 53.38% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.49% ( -0.25) | 50.51% ( 0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.56% ( -0.22) | 72.44% ( 0.23) |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.12% ( -0.22) | 22.88% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.38% ( -0.33) | 56.63% ( 0.34) |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.22% ( -0) | 30.78% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.95% ( -0.01) | 67.05% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Western United | Draw | Perth Glory |
1-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.11% Total : 43.98% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.21% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.03% Total : 30.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
5 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 11 |
7 | Macarthur | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 9 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
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