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Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 22, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Elland Road
Norwich logo

Leeds
vs.
Norwich

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Sheff Weds
Sunday, January 19 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-0 Norwich
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in Championship

We say: Leeds United 2-0 Norwich City

Unbeaten at Elland Road since September, Leeds should be supremely confident of recording another Yorkshire triumph in front of their home faithful on Wednesday. The arrivals of Sargent and new signing Jurasek onto the pitch could provide a real boost to Norwich's chances of a result, although we feel that the hosts will be too strong. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Leeds United win with a probability of 72.58%. A draw has a probability of 17% and a win for Norwich City has a probability of 10.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win is 2-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.8%) and 3-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Norwich City win it is 0-1 (3.5%).

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawNorwich City
72.58% (0.348 0.35) 17.03% (-0.183 -0.18) 10.39% (-0.166 -0.17)
Both teams to score 47.53% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.12% (0.369 0.37)40.88% (-0.369 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.73% (0.375 0.38)63.27% (-0.376 -0.38)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.13% (0.182 0.18)9.87% (-0.183 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.27% (0.41900000000001 0.42)32.72% (-0.422 -0.42)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.74% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)47.26% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.31% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)82.68% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 72.57%
    Norwich City 10.39%
    Draw 17.03%
Leeds UnitedDrawNorwich City
2-0 @ 12.5% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 10.8% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-0 @ 9.65% (0.067 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.24% (0.036 0.04)
4-0 @ 5.59% (0.083 0.08)
4-1 @ 4.19% (0.054 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.59% (0.058 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.94% (0.04 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.57% (0.018 0.02)
6-0 @ 1% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 72.57%
1-1 @ 8.1% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
0-0 @ 4.67% (-0.079 -0.08)
2-2 @ 3.51% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 17.03%
0-1 @ 3.5% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-2 @ 3.03% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-2 @ 1.31% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 10.39%

Who will win Wednesday's Championship clash between Leeds and Norwich?

Leeds United
Draw
Norwich City
Leeds United
100%
Draw
0.0%
Norwich City
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Norwich
1-1
Leeds
Sargent (15' pen.)
Struijk (8'), Doyle (38'), Bogle (47')
Ramazani (60')
Farke (9'), Rothwell (23'), Sargent (30'), Gnonto (66')
May 16, 2024 8pm
Leeds
4-0
Norwich
Gruev (7'), Piroe (20'), Rutter (40'), Summerville (68')
Gruev (54'), Rutter (56')

Rowe (37'), McLean (90+1')
May 12, 2024 12pm
Jan 24, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Leeds
1-0
Norwich
Bamford (16')
Firpo (69')

Gibson (44'), Giannoulis (47')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Norwich
2-3
Leeds
Duffy (4'), Sara (43')
Duffy (10'), Sara (34')
Duffy (63' og.), Summerville (77', 85')
Summerville (19'), Rodon (45+1'), Meslier (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27176438172155
3Burnley27141123192253
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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