Champions League | League Stage
Jan 22, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
Red Bull Arena
RB Leipzig2 - 1Sporting Lisbon
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, January 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, January 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
32
Last Game: Rio Ave 0-3 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, January 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, January 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
51
We said: RB Leipzig 2-3 Sporting Lisbon
Entertainment is often assured when Leipzig are involved, but none of that has gone in their favour in this Champions League campaign so far. A few weeks ago, Sporting were losing every time they took to the field, but results have steadily improved and they will feel confident of returning to form on the continent here to make sure of their spot in the knockouts. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 50.63%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.6%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
26.93% ( 0.07) | 22.44% ( -0.01) | 50.63% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 62.29% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.26% ( 0.09) | 37.74% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.02% ( 0.1) | 59.98% ( -0.1) |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.42% ( 0.1) | 26.58% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.2% ( 0.13) | 61.8% ( -0.13) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.85% ( 0.01) | 15.15% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.26% ( 0.02) | 43.74% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
RB Leipzig 26.93%
Sporting Lisbon 50.63%
Draw 22.43%
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 2-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.54% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.2% Total : 26.93% | 1-1 @ 10.06% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.43% | 1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 7.17% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 5.98% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.51% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.96% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.82% 0-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.06% Other @ 4.03% Total : 50.63% |
How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Sporting Lisbon
RB Leipzig
31.4%Draw
15.3%Sporting Lisbon
53.3%261
Form Guide
