Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 49.22%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-0 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%).
Result | ||
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
26.55% ( -1.85) | 24.22% ( -0.38) | 49.22% ( 2.23) |
Both teams to score 55.76% ( -0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.79% ( 0.39) | 46.21% ( -0.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.5% ( 0.37) | 68.5% ( -0.36) |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.7% ( -1.19) | 31.3% ( 1.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.35% ( -1.41) | 67.65% ( 1.41) |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.16% ( 1.07) | 18.84% ( -1.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.72% ( 1.76) | 50.28% ( -1.75) |
Score Analysis |
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
1-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.33) 2-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.34) 3-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.83% Total : 26.55% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.22% | 0-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 9.54% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 8.21% ( 0.41) 1-3 @ 5.31% ( 0.27) 0-3 @ 4.57% ( 0.37) 2-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 2.22% ( 0.18) 0-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.21) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.25% Total : 49.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 12 |
2 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
3 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
4 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
5 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
7 | Macarthur | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
8 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
9 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 |
10 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 16 | -14 | 1 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 0 |
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