Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 53.43%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 24.94% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.29%) and 0-1 (7.28%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.