MX23RW : Monday, December 23 01:36:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
Adelaide United
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Western Sydney Wanderers
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Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League | Gameweek 8
Dec 14, 2024 at 4am UK
Westpac Stadium
Macarthur

Wellington
1 - 2
Macarthur

FT(HT: 1-1)
Germain (7'), Bosnjak (75')
Adamson (87')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Macarthur.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Auckland FC 2-1 Wellington
Saturday, December 7 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Utd 0-0 Macarthur
Saturday, December 7 at 7am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawMacarthur
40.89% (0.885 0.88) 24.68% (0.231 0.23) 34.43% (-1.12 -1.12)
Both teams to score 58.56% (-1.06 -1.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.53% (-1.279 -1.28)44.47% (1.274 1.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.16% (-1.251 -1.25)66.84% (1.247 1.25)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.24% (-0.128 -0.13)21.76% (0.125 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.06% (-0.195 -0.2)54.94% (0.191 0.19)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.85% (-1.232 -1.23)25.15% (1.227 1.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.14% (-1.725 -1.72)59.86% (1.72 1.72)
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 40.89%
    Macarthur 34.43%
    Draw 24.68%
Wellington PhoenixDrawMacarthur
2-1 @ 8.79% (0.11 0.11)
1-0 @ 8.35% (0.423 0.42)
2-0 @ 6.36% (0.299 0.3)
3-1 @ 4.47% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.24% (0.141 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.7% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.23% (0.05 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 40.89%
1-1 @ 11.52% (0.19 0.19)
2-2 @ 6.06% (-0.141 -0.14)
0-0 @ 5.47% (0.297 0.3)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.68%
1-2 @ 7.95% (-0.154 -0.15)
0-1 @ 7.55% (0.15 0.15)
0-2 @ 5.21% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.66% (-0.206 -0.21)
2-3 @ 2.79% (-0.168 -0.17)
0-3 @ 2.4% (-0.125 -0.13)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 34.43%

How you voted: Wellington vs Macarthur

Wellington Phoenix
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
Macarthur
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Apr 27, 2024 8.15am
Gameweek 26
Wellington
3-0
Macarthur
Barbarouses (22'), Payne (29'), Zawada (90+2' pen.)
Rufer (54'), Salas (84'), Zawada (87')

Drew (41')
Feb 18, 2024 7.01am
Gameweek 17
Macarthur
1-2
Wellington
Oliveira (78')
Lewis (22'), M'Mombwa (75')
Barbarouses (31' pen., 73')
Ball (24'), van Hattum (42'), Hughes (54'), Salas (90+4'), Zawada (90+4')
Dec 18, 2023 8am
Gameweek 8
Macarthur
0-3
Wellington

Nicolaou (9'), Aspropotamitis (53'), Baccus (85')
Kraev (40'), Barbarouses (58', 61')
Rufer (13'), Pennington (26')
Apr 29, 2023 8am
Feb 12, 2023 6am
Gameweek 16
Macarthur
2-1
Wellington
Davila (32'), Najjar (49')
Kraev (4')
rhs 2.0
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