Australian A-League | Gameweek 13
Jan 11, 2025 at 4am UK
Westpac Stadium
Wellington1 - 2Adelaide United
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Adelaide United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Melbourne City 2-0 Wellington
Friday, January 3 at 6am in Australian A-League
Friday, January 3 at 6am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
12
Last Game: Macarthur 1-2 Adelaide United
Monday, January 6 at 8am in Australian A-League
Monday, January 6 at 8am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
24
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 49.17%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.11%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Adelaide United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Adelaide United |
28.43% ( -0.21) | 22.4% ( 0.16) | 49.17% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 63.74% ( -0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
