Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 17, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Mustapha Tchaker
Algeria5 - 1Liberia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Eq Guinea 0-0 Algeria
Thursday, November 14 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Thursday, November 14 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Last Game: Liberia 1-0 Togo
Wednesday, November 13 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Wednesday, November 13 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
We said: Algeria 2-0 Liberia
While this weekend's game is nothing but a dead rubber for both Algeria and Liberia, both sides will go out to secure bragging rights and close out the campaign on a high. Given the gulf in quality and experience between the two teams, we predict that the Desert Warriors will extend their dominance over Liberia in front of their home fans. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 77.07%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Liberia had a probability of 7.91%.
The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.99%) and 1-0 (10.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.14%), while for a Liberia win it was 0-1 (2.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Algeria | Draw | Liberia |
77.07% ( 0.74) | 15.02% ( -0.56) | 7.91% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 44.07% ( 1.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.35% ( 2.01) | 39.65% ( -2.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38% ( 2.06) | 62% ( -2.06) |
| Algeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.49% ( 0.66) | 8.5% ( -0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 70.53% ( 1.59) | 29.47% ( -1.6) |
| Liberia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.17% ( 0.91) | 51.83% ( -0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 14.11% ( 0.59) | 85.89% ( -0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
Algeria 77.05%
Liberia 7.91%
Draw 15.02%
| Algeria | Draw | Liberia |
| 2-0 @ 13.38% ( -0.42) 3-0 @ 10.99% 1-0 @ 10.86% ( -0.68)2-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.19)4-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.21)4-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.25)5-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.2)3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.12)5-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.19)4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.12)6-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.12)6-1 @ 0.9% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.92% Total : 77.05% | 1-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.25) 0-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.42)2-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.58% Total : 15.02% | 0-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.72% Total : 7.91% |
How you voted: Algeria vs Liberia
Algeria
70.4%Draw
25.9%Liberia
3.7%27
