Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 15, 2024 at 1pm UK
Francistown Stadium
Botswana1 - 1Mauritania
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Botswana 1-0 Cape Verde
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Mauritania 0-1 Egypt
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -1 | 2 |
We said: Botswana 1-1 Mauritania
Both Mauritania and Botswana have struggled to find the net, which is why we are expecting a nervy and cagey affair, but we think that the home side will come out on top at the end of the 90 minutes due to the visitors' poor form on the road. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botswana win with a probability of 37.11%. A win for Mauritania had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botswana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.48%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Mauritania win was 0-1 (12.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Botswana | Draw | Mauritania |
37.11% ( -0.13) | 29.48% ( -0.05) | 33.41% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 43.43% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
