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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Botswana national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 15, 2024 at 1pm UK
Francistown Stadium
Mauritania national football team

Botswana
1 - 1
Mauritania

Baruti (18')
Sesinyi (28'), Johnson (53'), Velaphi (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Koita (7')
Bouna Amar (17'), Hacen Houeibib (77'), Abeid (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Botswana and Mauritania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Botswana

Last Game: Botswana 1-0 Cape Verde
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Mauritania

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Mauritania 0-1 Egypt
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Botswana 1-1 Mauritania

 Both Mauritania and Botswana have struggled to find the net, which is why we are expecting a nervy and cagey affair, but we think that the home side will come out on top at the end of the 90 minutes due to the visitors' poor form on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botswana win with a probability of 37.11%. A win for Mauritania had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botswana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.48%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Mauritania win was 0-1 (12.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
BotswanaDrawMauritania
37.11% (-0.129 -0.13) 29.48% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05) 33.41% (0.178 0.18)
Both teams to score 43.43% (0.152 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.49% (0.173 0.17)63.51% (-0.175 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.16% (0.124 0.12)82.84% (-0.126 -0.13)
Botswana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.15% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)32.85% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.58% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)69.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
Mauritania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.67% (0.21700000000001 0.22)35.33% (-0.218 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.91% (0.226 0.23)72.09% (-0.22800000000001 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Botswana 37.1%
    Mauritania 33.4%
    Draw 29.47%
BotswanaDrawMauritania
1-0 @ 12.91% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 7.48%
2-0 @ 7.19% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.78% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2.67% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.45% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 37.1%
1-1 @ 13.44%
0-0 @ 11.6% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 3.89% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 29.47%
0-1 @ 12.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.99% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 6.28% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.43% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.18% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.35% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 33.4%

How you voted: Botswana vs Mauritania

Botswana
55.1%
Draw
30.6%
Mauritania
14.3%
49
Head to Head
Sep 7, 2024 5pm
Group Stage
Mauritania
1-0
Botswana
Bouna Amar (84')

Mohutsiwa (16'), Kopelang (21'), Mangolo (45+4')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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