Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 10, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Rene Gaillard
Gambia2 - 2Congo
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: South Sudan 2-3 Gambia
Wednesday, June 14 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Wednesday, June 14 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gambia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Last Game: Congo 0-2 Mali
Sunday, June 18 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sunday, June 18 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Congo | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Angola | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -2 | 2 |
| 4 | Cameroon | 3 | -2 | 1 |
We said: Gambia 1-0 Congo
Given the attacking records of both teams heading into this one, we anticipate a low-scoring affair with little goalmouth action. That said, we are tipping the hosts to come away with all three points come the sound of the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Gambia had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Congo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Gambia win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gambia | Draw | Congo |
34.64% ( -0.15) | 26.49% ( 0.03) | 38.87% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 52.44% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.61% ( -0.16) | 52.38% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.93% ( -0.14) | 74.06% ( 0.14) |
| Gambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.18% ( -0.17) | 28.81% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.33% ( -0.22) | 64.67% ( 0.22) |
| Congo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.66% ( -0.01) | 26.33% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.53% ( -0.02) | 61.47% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Gambia 34.64%
Congo 38.87%
Draw 26.48%
| Gambia | Draw | Congo |
| 1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 34.64% | 1-1 @ 12.59% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 10.12% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.41% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.76% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.74% ( 0)0-3 @ 3% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.25% 0-4 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.27% Total : 38.87% |
How you voted: Gambia vs Congo
Gambia
80.0%Draw
13.3%Congo
6.7%15
