Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 28, 2023 at 5pm UK
Independence Stadium
Gambia1 - 0Mali
Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Gambia and Mali.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mali 2-0 Gambia
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gambia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 52.92%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Gambia had a probability of 19.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.59%) and 1-2 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Gambia win it was 1-0 (8.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gambia | Draw | Mali |
19.63% ( -0.15) | 27.45% ( 0.05) | 52.92% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 39.32% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
