Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 19, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade 26 Mars
Mali6 - 0Eswatini
FT(HT: 4-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mozambique 0-1 Mali
Friday, November 15 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Friday, November 15 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Mali | 3 | 2 | 5 |
2 | South Africa | 3 | 2 | 4 |
3 | Namibia | 3 | -3 | 4 |
4 | Tunisia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Last Game: Eswatini 1-1 Guinea-Bissau
Friday, November 15 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Friday, November 15 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
We said: Mali 3-0 Eswatini
Mali can afford to take their foot off the gas here, but a chance to conclude their qualifying campaign with a win on home turf should see them up for the challenge. We are fully backing the home side to cruise to a routine victory come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 65.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Eswatini had a probability of 11.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.04%) and 3-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.12%), while for a Eswatini win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mali would win this match.
Result | ||
Mali | Draw | Eswatini |
65.63% ( -0.03) | 22.69% ( -0.02) | 11.68% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 35.52% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.15% ( 0.14) | 59.85% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.88% ( 0.11) | 80.13% ( -0.11) |
Mali Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.18% ( 0.04) | 17.83% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.43% ( 0.07) | 48.57% ( -0.07) |
Eswatini Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
43.23% ( 0.18) | 56.78% ( -0.18) |