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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Guinea-Bissau national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 15, 2024 at 5pm UK
Estadio Nacional 24 de Setembro
Mali national football team

Guinea-Bissau
0 - 0
Mali


Nogueira (31')
FT

Doucoure (76'), Diaby (84'), Diakite (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Guinea-Bissau and Mali, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guinea-Bissau

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Mali 1-0 Guinea-Bissau
Friday, October 11 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Mali

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Mali 1-0 Guinea-Bissau
Friday, October 11 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Guinea-Bissau 1-2 Mali

 Mali extended their dominance over Guinea-Bissau with Friday's victory and will head into Monday's clash with sky-high confidence. Les Aigles' are favourites to win the tie on paper, and given the gulf in quality between the two nations, we are backing them to see off the hosts once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 63.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 12.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 18.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (15.08%) and 1-2 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.65%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 1-0 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Guinea-BissauDrawMali
12.16% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01) 24.22% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 63.62% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 33.41% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.37% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)63.63% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.08% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)82.92% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Guinea-Bissau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
41.77% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)58.23% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.28% (-0.019 -0.02)89.72% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Mali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.99% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)20.01% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.79% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)52.21% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Guinea-Bissau 12.16%
    Mali 63.61%
    Draw 24.21%
Guinea-BissauDrawMali
1-0 @ 6.3% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-1 @ 2.74% (-0.004 -0)
2-0 @ 1.7% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 12.16%
0-0 @ 11.65% (0.02 0.02)
1-1 @ 10.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.21% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.21%
0-1 @ 18.74% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 15.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.16% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 8.09%
1-3 @ 4.37% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-4 @ 3.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.18% (-0.002 -0)
0-5 @ 1.05% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 63.61%

How you voted: Guinea-Bissau vs Mali

Guinea-Bissau
19.0%
Draw
19.0%
Mali
61.9%
21
Head to Head
Oct 11, 2024 8pm
Group Stage
Mali
1-0
Guinea-Bissau
Bilal Toure (62')

Encada (29'), Balde (64'), Nogueira (68')
> Preview
Jan 6, 2024 7pm
Friendlies 3
Mali
6-2
Guinea-Bissau
Niakate (6'), Coulibaly (15'), Doumbia (40'), Dorgeles (68', 85'), Sacko (75')
(33')
Balde (37'), Mane (42')
(45')
rhs 2.0
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