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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Morocco national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 18, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stade d'Honneur d'Oujda
Lesotho national football team

Morocco
vs.
Lesotho

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Morocco and Lesotho.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morocco

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: CAR 0-4 Morocco
Tuesday, October 15 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Gabon vs. Morocco
Friday, November 15 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Lesotho

Last Game: Lesotho 0-2 Gabon
Tuesday, October 15 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Lesotho vs. CAR
Thursday, November 14 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Morocco win with a probability of 80.84%. A draw has a probability of 14.3% and a win for Lesotho has a probability of 4.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win is 2-0 with a probability of 17.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (15.2%) and 3-0 (13.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (6.55%), while for a Lesotho win it is 0-1 (2.64%).

Result
MoroccoDrawLesotho
80.84% (2.284 2.28) 14.27% (-1.404 -1.4) 4.9% (-0.882 -0.88)
Both teams to score 29.92% (-1.171 -1.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.28% (2.062 2.06)48.72% (-2.064 -2.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.17% (1.847 1.85)70.82% (-1.848 -1.85)
Morocco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.21% (1.142 1.14)9.79% (-1.142 -1.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.45% (2.588 2.59)32.55% (-2.589 -2.59)
Lesotho Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
33.17% (-1.741 -1.74)66.83% (1.739 1.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
6.24% (-0.7229 -0.72)93.76% (0.721 0.72)
Score Analysis
    Morocco 80.82%
    Lesotho 4.9%
    Draw 14.27%
MoroccoDrawLesotho
2-0 @ 17.66% (0.23 0.23)
1-0 @ 15.2% (-0.55 -0.55)
3-0 @ 13.68% (0.82 0.82)
4-0 @ 7.95% (0.832 0.83)
2-1 @ 7.12% (-0.366 -0.37)
3-1 @ 5.51% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 3.69% (0.543 0.54)
4-1 @ 3.2% (0.148 0.15)
5-1 @ 1.49% (0.136 0.14)
6-0 @ 1.43% (0.268 0.27)
3-2 @ 1.11% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 80.82%
0-0 @ 6.55% (-0.573 -0.57)
1-1 @ 6.13% (-0.636 -0.64)
2-2 @ 1.43% (-0.173 -0.17)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 14.27%
0-1 @ 2.64% (-0.419 -0.42)
1-2 @ 1.24% (-0.217 -0.22)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 4.9%

Head to Head
Sep 9, 2024 8pm
Group Stage
Lesotho
0-1
Morocco

Motebang (81'), Toloane (90+1')
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