MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 14:59:03| >> :600:4789545:4789545:
Niger national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 7, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade de Marrakech
Uganda national football team

Niger
0 - 2
Uganda


Oumarou (68'), Alhassane (71')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Kayondo (17'), Benson Ochaya (39')
Miya (43'), Benson Ochaya (58'), Aucho (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Niger and Uganda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Tanzania 1-0 Niger
Sunday, June 18 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Ghana347
2Mali304
3Congo DR303
4Niger3-41
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Uganda 1-2 Algeria
Sunday, June 18 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Niger 1-2 Uganda

Uganda head into Thursday's game needing all three points against Niger and favourable results in the other group fixture to stand a chance of securing a first AFCON appearance since 2019. With the Mena playing only for pride, we fancy Uganda snatching a narrow win in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 53.63%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Niger had a probability of 18.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.02%) and 1-2 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.48%), while for a Niger win it was 1-0 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Uganda would win this match.

Result
NigerDrawUganda
18.66% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 27.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 53.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 37.5% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.51% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)65.49% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.77% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)84.23% (0.012 0.01)
Niger Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.99% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)50.01% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.33% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)84.67% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Uganda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.03% (-0.012 -0.01)24.97% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.39% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)59.62% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Niger 18.66%
    Uganda 53.63%
    Draw 27.69%
NigerDrawUganda
1-0 @ 8.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 4.16% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 3%
3-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 18.66%
0-0 @ 12.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-1 @ 12%
2-2 @ 2.89% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 27.69%
0-1 @ 17.32%
0-2 @ 12.02%
1-2 @ 8.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 5.56% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 53.63%

How you voted: Niger vs Uganda

Niger
27.3%
Draw
4.5%
Uganda
68.2%
22
Head to Head
Jun 8, 2022 2pm
Group Stage
Uganda
1-1
Niger
Karisa (43')
Bayo (67')
Sabo (71')
Razak Seyni (78')
Jun 2, 2018 9pm
International Friendlies
Niger
2-1
Uganda
Kamilou (40'), Zakari (56')
Nicholas (85')
rhs 2.0
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