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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
South Sudan national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 15, 2024 at 2pm UK
Juba Stadium
Uganda national football team

South Sudan
1 - 2
Uganda

Paulino Juma (21')
Leku (69'), Okocha (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Omedi (15'), Leku (66' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between South Sudan and Uganda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

South Sudan

Last Game: Uganda 1-0 South Sudan
Friday, October 11 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Uganda

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Uganda 1-0 South Sudan
Friday, October 11 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: South Sudan 1-2 Uganda

 Uganda have put together a near-perfect qualifying campaign so far and are deservingly on the verge of completing the job.   South Sudan, on the other hand, will set out to delay the seemingly inevitable as a recovery from here seems unlikely in the context of AFCON qualification.   We are backing the away side to come out on top at the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 52.13%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for South Sudan had a probability of 18.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 0-1 with a probability of 19.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.17%) and 1-2 (7.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.31%), while for a South Sudan win it was 1-0 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Uganda in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Uganda.

Result
South SudanDrawUganda
18.16% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 29.72% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 52.13% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 32.93% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
28.98% (-0.004999999999999 -0)71.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)87.88% (0.0040000000000049 0)
South Sudan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.95% (-0.055 -0.05)54.04% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.7% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)87.3% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Uganda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.65% (0.024000000000001 0.02)28.34% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.92% (0.030999999999999 0.03)64.08% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    South Sudan 18.16%
    Uganda 52.12%
    Draw 29.7%
South SudanDrawUganda
1-0 @ 9.43% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 3.66% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.9% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 18.16%
0-0 @ 15.31%
1-1 @ 11.88% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.31% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 29.7%
0-1 @ 19.31% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 12.17% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.49% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 5.12% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.15% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 1.61% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
2-3 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 52.12%

How you voted: South Sudan vs Uganda

South Sudan
12.0%
Draw
20.0%
Uganda
68.0%
25
Head to Head
Oct 11, 2024 5pm
Group Stage
Uganda
1-0
South Sudan
Mugabi (47')
Aucho (90')

Thomas Magor Abdo Gaber (44'), Okocha (73')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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