MX23RW : Tuesday, September 17 01:09:29| >> :600:650951:650951:
Uganda national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 9, 2024 at 5pm UK
Mandela National Stadium
Congo national football team

Uganda
2 - 0
Congo

Kayondo (21'), Ssemugabi (85')
Omedi (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Passi (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Uganda and Congo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: South Africa 2-2 Uganda
Friday, September 6 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Congo 1-0 South Sudan
Thursday, September 5 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Uganda 1-0 Congo

Buoyed by their narrow victory last time out, Congo will undoubtedly be feeling better about themselves heading into this one, but we can see them coming away empty-handed, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo win with a probability of 43.49%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Uganda had a probability of 27.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Congo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.82%) and 1-2 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a Uganda win it was 1-0 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Uganda would win this match.

Result
UgandaDrawCongo
27.61% (-0.444 -0.44) 28.89% (-0.089000000000002 -0.09) 43.49% (0.528 0.53)
Both teams to score 42.99% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.91% (0.097999999999999 0.1)63.09% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.47% (0.07 0.07)82.53% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)
Uganda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.43% (-0.318 -0.32)39.56% (0.315 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.75% (-0.294 -0.29)76.25% (0.292 0.29)
Congo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.13% (0.33799999999999 0.34)28.87% (-0.339 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.26% (0.416 0.42)64.74% (-0.42 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Uganda 27.61%
    Congo 43.49%
    Draw 28.88%
UgandaDrawCongo
1-0 @ 10.59% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 6.1% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 4.91% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-1 @ 1.89% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.52% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.17% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 27.61%
1-1 @ 13.15% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 11.42% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.79% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 28.88%
0-1 @ 14.19% (0.09 0.09)
0-2 @ 8.82% (0.133 0.13)
1-2 @ 8.17% (0.054 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.65% (0.089 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.39% (0.054 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.038 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 43.49%

How you voted: Uganda vs Congo

Uganda
71.1%
Draw
22.2%
Congo
6.7%
45
rhs 2.0
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2Arsenal431061510
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle431063310
4Liverpool43017169
5Aston Villa43017619
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton42206248
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest42204228
8Chelsea42118537
9Brentford42026606
10Manchester UnitedMan Utd42025506
11Bournemouth41215505
12Fulham41214405
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs41126424
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham411256-14
15Leicester CityLeicester402257-22
16Crystal Palace402247-32
17Ipswich TownIpswich402227-52
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves4013411-71
19Southampton400418-70
20Everton4004413-90


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