MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 09:23:53| >> :60:435:435:
Zambia national football team
COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jun 30, 2024 at 2pm UK
Wolfson Stadium
Zimbabwe national football team

Zambia
0 - 2
Zimbabwe


Kanguluma (27'), Banda (68')
Kanguluma (33')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Tapera (8'), Benhura (43')
Adrian Mutudza (35'), Jalai (36'), Matema Mushore (54')
Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Zambia and Zimbabwe.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Zambia 0-2 Kenya
Thursday, June 27 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup
All competitions
COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Comoros 0-1 Zimbabwe
Thursday, June 27 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 56.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 18.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Zimbabwe win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
ZambiaDrawZimbabwe
56.79% (0.13999999999999 0.14) 24.42% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06) 18.79% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 45.64% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.17% (0.13 0.13)54.83% (-0.129 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.87% (0.109 0.11)76.13% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)
Zambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.81% (0.10600000000001 0.11)19.19% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.12% (0.17 0.17)50.87% (-0.169 -0.17)
Zimbabwe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.48% (-0.012 -0.01)43.52% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.28% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)79.72% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Zambia 56.78%
    Zimbabwe 18.79%
    Draw 24.42%
ZambiaDrawZimbabwe
1-0 @ 13.78% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 11.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.26% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.21% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.58% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.17% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.15% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 56.78%
1-1 @ 11.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.35% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.94% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 24.42%
0-1 @ 6.95% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-2 @ 4.77% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.89% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.32% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 18.79%

Head to Head
Mar 23, 2024 12pm
Friendlies 1
Zambia
2-2
Zimbabwe
(Aggregate 2-2 | Zimbabwe win 6-5 on penalties)
Sunzu (5'), Chama (24')
Chanda (45+3')
Bonne (32'), Musona (45+2')
rhs 2.0
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