Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 36.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sirius would win this match.