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Atletico Tucuman
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 22
Jul 1, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Presidente Jose Fierro

Tucuman
1 - 0
Union

Coronel (18' pen.)
Tesuri (32')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Luna Diale (32'), Gordillo (46'), Machuca (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Atletico Tucuman and Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sarmiento 4-1 Tucuman
Monday, June 26 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Union 3-0 Independiente
Saturday, June 24 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Atletico Tucuman 2-1 Union

Despite Union clearly being in better form ahead of this huge clash towards the bottom of the table, they may have been rocked by the departure of their manager earlier this week. Tucuman have won their last two home matches and will therefore feel confident of piling on the misery for their opponents, so we are predicting a narrow win for the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 46%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Union had a probability of 23.75%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (7.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.08%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Tucuman in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Tucuman.

Result
Atletico TucumanDrawUnion
46% (0.0010000000000048 0) 30.24% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 23.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 37.32% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.25%68.75% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.57%86.43% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.66%30.34% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.47% (0.0020000000000024 0)66.53% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.58% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)46.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.96% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)82.04% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Tucuman 45.99%
    Union 23.74%
    Draw 30.24%
Atletico TucumanDrawUnion
1-0 @ 16.79%
2-0 @ 10.01%
2-1 @ 7.69% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 3.98%
3-1 @ 3.06%
4-0 @ 1.19%
3-2 @ 1.17%
4-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 45.99%
0-0 @ 14.08%
1-1 @ 12.89%
2-2 @ 2.95%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 30.24%
0-1 @ 10.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.95%
0-2 @ 4.15%
1-3 @ 1.27% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 23.74%

How you voted: Tucuman vs Union

Atletico Tucuman
72.7%
Draw
9.1%
Union
18.2%
11
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2022 1.30am
Gameweek 26
Tucuman
1-1
Union
Isa (89')
Corvalan (48')
Feb 22, 2022 10.15pm
Gameweek 3
Union
1-0
Tucuman
Alvez (55')
Calderon (45+2'), Alvez (51'), Moyano (86')

Gil Romero (41'), Carrera (70'), Lotti (86')
Nov 29, 2021 8pm
Second Phase
Union
3-0
Tucuman
Manuel Garcia (34' pen., 40', 53')
Carlos Portillo (63')

Bustos (25'), Carrera (51'), Erbes (52'), Cabral (76'), Ruiz (83')
Nov 9, 2019 12.10am
Gameweek 13
Union
0-1
Tucuman

Bottinelli (70'), Gomez (74')
Bottinelli (85')
Diaz (29')
Ortiz (40'), Gissi (51'), Acosta (64')
Feb 15, 2019 10pm
Gameweek 19
Union
3-0
Tucuman
Fragapane (12', 40'), Pitton (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield23128335152044
2HuracanHuracan23119327151242
3Racing ClubRacing23124734221240
4TalleresTalleres2310942822639
5River PlateRiver Plate2399531181336
6UnionUnion2310672422236
7Atletico TucumanTucuman2310672524136
8Boca Juniors239772823534
9IndependienteIndependiente2371242014633
10Platense238961816233
11Instituto239592925432
12Deportivo Riestra238872424032
13BelgranoBelgrano2371062826231
14EstudiantesEstudiantes2371062624231
15GimnasiaGimnasia237882020029
16TigreTigre237882628-229
17Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2361072325-228
18San Lorenzo237791921-228
19Central CordobaC. Cordoba237792630-428
20LanusLanus2361072228-628
21Independiente Rivadavia237791724-728
22Rosario CentralRosario236892423126
23Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2375111823-526
24Defensa y JusticiaDefensa236892431-726
25BanfieldBanfield2357112029-922
26Sarmiento2349101525-1021
27Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2356121732-1521
28Barracas Central2338121130-1917


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