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Sarmiento
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 21
Jun 26, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Eva Peron de Junin
Atletico Tucuman

Sarmiento
4 - 1
Tucuman

Quiroga (18', 83'), Melano (21'), Diaz (36')
Mendez (20'), Melano (41')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Coronel (57')
Guille (13'), Tesuri (54'), Ojeda (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Sarmiento and Atletico Tucuman, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sarmiento

All competitions
Last Game: Independiente 2-0 Sarmiento
Saturday, June 10 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

Atletico Tucuman

All competitions
Last Game: Tucuman 2-1 Godoy Cruz
Wednesday, June 14 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Sarmiento 1-0 Atletico Tucuman

 Given Sarmiento's solid run of results at home and the visitors showing some semblance of the form they produced last season, this looks set to be a tight match. Neither side have been prolific this season, and it would come as no surprise if the first goal turns out to be the winner. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 30.64% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.94%) and 2-1 (7.9%). The likeliest Atletico Tucuman win was 0-1 (11.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sarmiento would win this match.

Result
SarmientoDrawAtletico Tucuman
40.24% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07) 29.12% (0.022000000000002 0.02) 30.64% (0.044 0.04)
Both teams to score 43.73% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.17% (-0.055 -0.05)62.83% (0.055 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.65% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)82.34% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.41% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)30.58% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.18% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)66.82% (0.079000000000008 0.08)
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)36.99% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.22% (0.004999999999999 0)73.78% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Sarmiento 40.23%
    Atletico Tucuman 30.64%
    Draw 29.11%
SarmientoDrawAtletico Tucuman
1-0 @ 13.4%
2-0 @ 7.94% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.9% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.12% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.55% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 0.93% (-0.005 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 40.23%
1-1 @ 13.32%
0-0 @ 11.31% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 29.11%
0-1 @ 11.25% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.59% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.2% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.3% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 30.64%

How you voted: Sarmiento vs Tucuman

Sarmiento
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Atletico Tucuman
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Jul 19, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 9
Tucuman
1-0
Sarmiento
Maestro Puch (86')
Pereyra (61'), Acosta (69')

Guanini (5'), Paradela (56'), Arismendi (90')
> Preview
Feb 10, 2022 10.15pm
Gameweek 1
Sarmiento
1-0
Tucuman
Lopez (66')
Arismendi (12'), Mancilla (87')

Ortiz (30'), Carrera (59'), Pereyra (77'), Thaller (89')
Aug 20, 2021 11pm
Second Phase
Sarmiento
3-0
Tucuman
Montoya (46'), Cucchi (61'), Gondou (85')
Arismendi (60'), Chicco (90+3')

Osores (57'), Erbes (71'), Campos (87')
Apr 3, 2021 8.15pm
First Phase
Sarmiento
1-2
Tucuman
Herrera (13')
Torres (50'), Nahuel Vadala (72'), Herrera (87'), Garcia (89')
Toledo (63', 88')
Risso (28'), Vergini (53'), Toledo (70')
Acosta (29')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield23128335152044
2HuracanHuracan23119327151242
3Racing ClubRacing23124734221240
4River PlateRiver Plate2299430161436
5TalleresTalleres229942622436
6UnionUnion2310672422236
7Atletico TucumanTucuman2310672524136
8Boca Juniors239772823534
9Platense238961816233
10Instituto239592925432
11Deportivo Riestra238872424032
12EstudiantesEstudiantes2371062624231
13IndependienteIndependiente2261241914530
14BelgranoBelgrano227962725230
15GimnasiaGimnasia227872019129
16TigreTigre237882628-229
17Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2361072325-228
18San Lorenzo237791921-228
19Central CordobaC. Cordoba237792630-428
20LanusLanus2361072228-628
21Rosario CentralRosario236892423126
22Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2375111823-526
23Defensa y JusticiaDefensa236892431-726
24Independiente Rivadavia226791523-825
25BanfieldBanfield2357112029-922
26Sarmiento224991523-821
27Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2356121732-1521
28Barracas Central2237121029-1916
> Argentine Primera Division Full Table


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