Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 25
Jul 16, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra
Belgrano0 - 1San Lorenzo
Rebola (90+4'), Ortigoza (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Colon 0-0 Belgrano
Monday, July 10 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, July 10 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
20
Last Game: Medellin 0-1 San Lorenzo
Thursday, July 13 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, July 13 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Goals
for
for
22
We said: Belgrano 0-1 San Lorenzo
Belgrano are more than capable of making this a tricky match for San Lorenzo, and the visitors will be wary of the quality of Vegetti in particular. San Lorenzo are a very difficult team to beat, though, and we are expecting the third-placed side to claim an important three points on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 35.76%. A draw had a probability of 32.7% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 31.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.29%) and 2-1 (6.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.33%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (14.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for San Lorenzo in this match.
Result | ||
Belgrano | Draw | San Lorenzo |
35.76% ( 0.25) | 32.72% ( 0.1) | 31.51% ( -0.34) |
Both teams to score 35.44% ( -0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
27.25% ( -0.26) | 72.75% ( 0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
11.06% ( -0.16) | 88.94% ( 0.16) |
Belgrano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.12% ( 0.02) | 38.87% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.39% ( 0.02) | 75.6% ( -0.02) |
San Lorenzo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.97% ( -0.42) | 42.03% ( 0.43) |