Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 17
Oct 6, 2024 at 7pm UK
Estadio Libertadores de America
Independiente3 - 1Deportivo Riestra
Gabriel Montiel (18', 27'), Avalos (63')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and Deportivo Riestra.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tigre 1-1 Independiente
Tuesday, October 1 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Tuesday, October 1 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
24
Last Game: Deportivo Riestra 3-3 Newell's OB
Friday, September 27 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Friday, September 27 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
26
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 56.61%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 15.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.52%) and 2-1 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.43%), while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 0-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | Deportivo Riestra |
56.61% ( -0.42) | 28% ( 0.09) | 15.39% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 32.25% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
