Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 41.79%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Huracan had a probability of 28.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 2-1 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.3%), while for a Huracan win it was 0-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Independiente in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Independiente.