MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:04:08| >> :300:86500:86500:
Independiente
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 20
Jun 10, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Libertadores de America
Sarmiento

Independiente
2 - 0
Sarmiento

Gimenez Rojas (38', 52')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Martinez Rojas (79'), Toledo (85')
Mainero (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and Sarmiento, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente

All competitions
Last Game: Godoy Cruz 2-1 Independiente
Sunday, June 4 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division

Sarmiento

All competitions
Last Game: Sarmiento 0-0 Newell's OB
Friday, June 2 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Independiente 0-1 Sarmiento

 Given that 12 of Sarmiento's last 13 matches have produced fewer than three goals, Friday's clash looks destined to be a low-scoring affair, especially when you consider that Damonte's men have not conceded a goal in five outings. Accordingly, we expect the visitors to notch a clean-sheet victory at the Estadio Libertadores de America, extending their unbeaten streak to seven games while heaping more misery on Independiente. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 45.39%. A draw had a probability of 31.2% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 23.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (7.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.4%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

Result
IndependienteDrawSarmiento
45.39% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08) 31.16% (0.028000000000002 0.03) 23.46% (0.044999999999998 0.04)
Both teams to score 35.25% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
28.84% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)71.16% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.03% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)87.97% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.04% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)31.96% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.59% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)68.41% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.8% (0.011000000000003 0.01)48.2% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.63% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)83.37% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Independiente 45.38%
    Sarmiento 23.46%
    Draw 31.15%
IndependienteDrawSarmiento
1-0 @ 17.57%
2-0 @ 10.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.32% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.81% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.78% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.09% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 45.38%
0-0 @ 15.4% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-1 @ 12.82%
2-2 @ 2.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 31.15%
0-1 @ 11.24% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.1% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.14% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 23.46%

How you voted: Independiente vs Sarmiento

Independiente
20.0%
Draw
20.0%
Sarmiento
60.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 12, 2022 9pm
gameweek 19
Sarmiento
1-2
Independiente
Femia (49')
Fernandez (75', 77')
Oct 21, 2021 11pm
Second Phase
Independiente
1-1
Sarmiento
Romero (6')
Velasco (43')
Gondou (32')
Bravo (41'), Montoya (71')
Mar 16, 2021 12.30am
First Phase
Independiente
6-0
Sarmiento

Alanis (29'), Torres (40')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield23128335152044
2HuracanHuracan23119327151242
3Racing ClubRacing23124734221240
4River PlateRiver Plate2299430161436
5TalleresTalleres229942622436
6UnionUnion2310672422236
7Atletico TucumanTucuman2310672524136
8Boca Juniors239772823534
9Platense238961816233
10Instituto239592925432
11Deportivo Riestra238872424032
12EstudiantesEstudiantes2371062624231
13IndependienteIndependiente2261241914530
14BelgranoBelgrano227962725230
15GimnasiaGimnasia227872019129
16TigreTigre237882628-229
17Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2361072325-228
18San Lorenzo237791921-228
19Central CordobaC. Cordoba237792630-428
20LanusLanus2361072228-628
21Rosario CentralRosario236892423126
22Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2375111823-526
23Defensa y JusticiaDefensa236892431-726
24Independiente Rivadavia226791523-825
25BanfieldBanfield2357112029-922
26Sarmiento224991523-821
27Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2356121732-1521
28Barracas Central2237121029-1916
> Argentine Primera Division Full Table


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