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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 19
Oct 27, 2024 at 1.45am UK
Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini
San Lorenzo

Independiente Rivadavia
1 - 0
San Lorenzo

Ramis (4')
Centurion (54'), Darko Studer (57'), Sequeira (66'), Ostchega (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gabriel Lopez (40'), Remedi (54')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente Rivadavia and San Lorenzo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: C. Cordoba 2-0 Independiente Rivadavia
Friday, October 18 at 10.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: San Lorenzo 1-0 Barracas Central
Sunday, October 20 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Rivadavia win with a probability of 35.54%. A draw had a probability of 33.3% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 31.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Rivadavia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.28%) and 2-1 (6.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.26%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (14.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Independiente Rivadavia in this match.

Result
Independiente RivadaviaDrawSan Lorenzo
35.54% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04) 33.34% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 31.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 34.1% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
25.78% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)74.22% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
10.19% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)89.81% (0.047999999999988 0.05)
Independiente Rivadavia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.09% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)39.91% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.43% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)76.57% (0.071999999999989 0.07)
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.75% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)43.25% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.5% (-0.038 -0.04)79.5% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Independiente Rivadavia 35.54%
    San Lorenzo 31.11%
    Draw 33.33%
Independiente RivadaviaDrawSan Lorenzo
1-0 @ 15.85% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.28% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.1% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.23% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.87% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 35.54%
0-0 @ 17.26% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
1-1 @ 13.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.56% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 33.33%
0-1 @ 14.46% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 5.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.56% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 31.11%

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