Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 53.08%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 19.98%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Tucuman in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Tucuman.
0.02) 
-0.13) 
