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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 26
Oct 17, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Amalfitani
Estudiantes

Velez Sarsfield
4 - 0
Estudiantes

Janson (37' pen.), Osorio (72', 85'), Ortega (78')
Castro (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Morel (36'), Noguera (88')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and Estudiantes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 2-1 Talleres
Thursday, October 13 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Estudiantes

All competitions
Last Game: Huracan 3-1 Estudiantes
Friday, October 14 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 58.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 18.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawEstudiantes
58.29% (-0.713 -0.71) 23.58% (0.289 0.29) 18.13% (0.423 0.42)
Both teams to score 46.89% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.43% (-0.515 -0.52)52.57% (0.513 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.77% (-0.443 -0.44)74.23% (0.44199999999999 0.44)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.21% (-0.443 -0.44)17.79% (0.441 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.49% (-0.77 -0.77)48.51% (0.76900000000001 0.77)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.03% (0.205 0.2)42.97% (-0.206 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.73% (0.173 0.17)79.26% (-0.17399999999999 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 58.28%
    Estudiantes 18.13%
    Draw 23.57%
Velez SarsfieldDrawEstudiantes
1-0 @ 13.19% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 11.39% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.56% (-0.153 -0.15)
3-1 @ 5.54% (-0.097 -0.1)
4-0 @ 2.83% (-0.108 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.39% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-0 @ 0.98% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 58.28%
1-1 @ 11.14% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 7.64% (0.154 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.07% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 23.57%
0-1 @ 6.46% (0.166 0.17)
1-2 @ 4.71% (0.081 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.73% (0.085 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.33% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.15% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 18.13%

How you voted: Velez Sarsfield vs Estudiantes

Velez Sarsfield
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Estudiantes
20.0%
5
Head to Head
May 24, 2022 11.15pm
Velez Sarsfield
4-0
Estudiantes
Janson (21', 43'), Pratto (73'), Osorio (83')

Valdez (12'), Lattanzio (37'), Beltran (69'), Morel (85')
Valdez (76')
Apr 8, 2022 1am
Estudiantes
4-1
Velez Sarsfield
Mas (6'), Rogel (42'), Del Prete (53'), Zapiola (88')
Diaz (22'), Godoy (29'), Rodriguez (71'), Lattanzio (90')
Janson (35')
Gianetti (38'), Pratto (90')
Mar 7, 2022 12.30am
Velez Sarsfield
1-1
Estudiantes
Janson (10')
Garayalde (41'), Gomez (69'), Hoyos (71')
Diaz (89')
Lattanzio (27'), Morel (65'), Diaz (72')
Nov 28, 2021 12.30am
Estudiantes
1-0
Velez Sarsfield
Diaz (35' pen.)
Rogel (37'), Zapiola (41'), Diaz (56'), Godoy (77')

Janson (17'), Gianetti (28'), Guidara (33'), Mancuello (37')
Dec 28, 2020 10.20pm
Zone Six
Velez Sarsfield
2-3
Estudiantes
Tarragona (6'), Alvarez (40')
Gianetti (20'), Brizuela (35'), Cavanagh (81'), Mancuello (88')
Garcia (17'), Gianetti (37' og.), Rodriguez (45')
Pasquini (39'), Rodriguez (63')
rhs 2.0
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