Espaly-Saint-Marcel2 - 4PSG
Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, December 20 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France
Sunday, January 12 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
for
We said: Espaly-Saint-Marcel 0-3 Paris Saint-Germain
Espaly barely got over the line against a third-tier side in Dijon, and they will be in tough against the best team in France at the moment, who have so much quality they can call upon. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 94%. A draw had a probability of 4.8% and a win for Espaly-Saint-Marcel had a probability of 1.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-3 with a probability of 15.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (13.91%) and 0-2 (12.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.2%), while for a Espaly-Saint-Marcel win it was 1-0 (0.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Espaly-Saint-Marcel | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
1.19% ( 0.03) | 4.8% ( 0.15) | 94% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 27% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
