We said: Lebanon 0-1 China
Finding the back of the net in this competition has proven to be challenging for the Lebanese, who may still be feeling the frustration of their opening loss, knowing they had their chances to score.
The experience of China in these situations has us leaning towards them narrowly winning this match, despite their form being well below what we are used to seeing at this tournament.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lebanon win with a probability of 44.27%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for China had a probability of 27.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lebanon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a China win it was 0-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.