MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 09:53:41| >> :120:57253:57253:
UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
San Marino national football team
Nations League | League D
Sep 26, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
Estonia national football team

San Marino
0 - 4
Estonia


Battistini (47')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Anier (38', 77'), Teniste (56'), Sappinen (66')
Purg (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between San Marino and Estonia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Marino

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: San Marino 0-0 Seychelles
Wednesday, September 21 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Estonia

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Estonia 2-1 Malta
Friday, September 23 at 5pm in Nations League

We said: San Marino 0-2 Estonia

 San Marino are rarely thrashed at this level, so we expect them to make life difficult for the visitors during certain periods. However, there is little doubt that Estonia are a step up in class from their forthcoming opponents, so their 100% record should remain in tact. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estonia win with a probability of 50.31%. A win for San Marino had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estonia win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest San Marino win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estonia would win this match.

Result
San MarinoDrawEstonia
26.53% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 23.16% (0.0040000000000013 0) 50.31% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.35% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.54% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)41.46% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.14% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)63.86% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
San Marino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.18% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)28.82% (0.025000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.33% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)64.67% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Estonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.38% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)16.62% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.55% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)46.45% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    San Marino 26.53%
    Estonia 50.31%
    Draw 23.16%
San MarinoDrawEstonia
2-1 @ 6.65% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 5.96% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 3.71%
3-1 @ 2.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.54%
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 26.53%
1-1 @ 10.69%
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 4.79% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.16%
1-2 @ 9.6% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-1 @ 8.6% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.71% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.74% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 4.61% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-3 @ 3.57% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 2.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 2.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.6% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 50.31%

How you voted: San Marino vs Estonia

San Marino
26.0%
Draw
9.4%
Estonia
64.6%
96
Head to Head
Jun 2, 2022 5pm
League D2
Estonia
2-0
San Marino
Kirss (24'), Tamm (32')

Golinucci (60'), Mularoni (68')
Jun 14, 2015 5pm
Group E
Estonia
2-0
San Marino
Zenjov (35', 63')

Battistini (58')
> Match Report
Nov 15, 2014 5pm
Group E
San Marino
0-0
Estonia

Simoncini (11'), Palazzi (57')

Dmitrijev (1'), Morozov (69'), Mets (93')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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