Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 69.36%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Slutsk had a probability of 12.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%), while for a Slutsk win it was 1-2 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.