MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 02:10:24| >> :600:300059:300059:
Copa del Rey | Round of 32
Jan 3, 2025 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal de A Malata
Rayo Vallecano logo

Racing de Ferrol
1 - 3
Rayo Vallecano

Gimenez (90')
Bunuel (79'), Naldo (81')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Espino (8'), de Frutos (32', 59')
Valentin (38'), de Frutos (48'), Isi (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa del Rey clash between Racing Club de Ferrol and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Zaragoza 1-0 Racing de Ferrol
Saturday, December 21 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

We said: Racing Club de Ferrol 0-2 Rayo Vallecano

Racing Ferrol are capable of making this a tricky match for Rayo; we are not expecting many goals, but the visitors will be able to call upon the superior quality, and we are backing the La Liga side to book their spot in the next round of the competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 55.01%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 20.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.77%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Racing Club de Ferrol win it was 1-0 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.

Result
Racing Club de FerrolDrawRayo Vallecano
20.29% (-0.694 -0.69) 24.7% (0.249 0.25) 55.01% (0.448 0.45)
Both teams to score 47.1% (-1.68 -1.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.9% (-1.724 -1.72)54.1% (1.727 1.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.48% (-1.463 -1.46)75.52% (1.465 1.47)
Racing Club de Ferrol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.59% (-1.723 -1.72)41.41% (1.727 1.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.08% (-1.555 -1.56)77.92% (1.558 1.56)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.4% (-0.48699999999999 -0.49)19.6% (0.488 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.45% (-0.804 -0.8)51.55% (0.807 0.81)
Score Analysis
    Racing Club de Ferrol 20.29%
    Rayo Vallecano 55%
    Draw 24.7%
Racing Club de FerrolDrawRayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 7.16% (0.147 0.15)
2-1 @ 5.14% (-0.219 -0.22)
2-0 @ 3.16% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-1 @ 1.51% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-2 @ 1.23% (-0.135 -0.14)
3-0 @ 0.93% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 20.29%
1-1 @ 11.66% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 8.12% (0.533 0.53)
2-2 @ 4.19% (-0.247 -0.25)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 24.7%
0-1 @ 13.22% (0.67 0.67)
0-2 @ 10.77% (0.39 0.39)
1-2 @ 9.5% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
0-3 @ 5.85% (0.125 0.13)
1-3 @ 5.16% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-4 @ 2.39% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.171 -0.17)
1-4 @ 2.1% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 55%

How you voted: Racing de Ferrol vs Rayo Vallecano

Racing Club de Ferrol
21.6%
Draw
10.8%
Rayo Vallecano
67.6%
37
rhs 2.0
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