BATE

3 - 1

Vitebsk

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 61.55%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Vitebsk had a probability of 16.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Vitebsk win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.