Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 51.88%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 27.29% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.38%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.