Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for FC Minsk had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest FC Minsk win was 1-0 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.