Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Celta Vigo |
34.64% ( -1.05) | 27.58% ( 0.08) | 37.78% ( 0.97) |
Both teams to score 48.99% ( -0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.26% ( -0.38) | 56.74% ( 0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.31% ( -0.3) | 77.69% ( 0.31) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.03% ( -0.86) | 30.97% ( 0.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.73% ( -1.01) | 67.28% ( 1.02) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.97% ( 0.4) | 29.03% ( -0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.07% ( 0.49) | 64.93% ( -0.49) |
Score Analysis |
Alaves | Draw | Celta Vigo |
1-0 @ 10.53% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.04% Total : 34.63% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.58% | 0-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.58% Total : 37.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 49 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 45 |
3 | Barcelona | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 59 | 24 | 35 | 42 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 40 |
5 | Villarreal | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 34 |
6 | Mallorca | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 30 |
7 | Rayo Vallecano | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 29 |
8 | GironaGirona | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 28 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 28 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
11 | Osasuna | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
12 | Sevilla | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 27 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 25 |
14 | Getafe | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 23 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 23 |
16 | Leganes | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 23 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 21 |
18 | Espanyol | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 20 |
19 | Valencia | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 42 | -28 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |