Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 36.46%. A win for Alaves has a probability of 36.02% and a draw has a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Alaves win is 1-0 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.01%).
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Celta Vigo |
36.02% ( 0.23) | 27.52% ( -0.11) | 36.46% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 49.28% ( 0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.58% ( 0.41) | 56.42% ( -0.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.57% ( 0.33) | 77.43% ( -0.33) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.06% ( 0.35) | 29.94% ( -0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.96% ( 0.42) | 66.04% ( -0.42) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.33% ( 0.13) | 29.67% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.28% ( 0.15) | 65.72% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Alaves | Draw | Celta Vigo |
1-0 @ 10.71% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.38% Total : 36.02% | 1-1 @ 13.01% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.88% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.51% | 0-1 @ 10.79% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 36.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 46 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Barcelona | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 39 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 39 |
5 | Villarreal | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 31 | 7 | 33 |
6 | Mallorca | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 26 |
10 | Osasuna | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Sevilla | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
12 | Real BetisBetis | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 24 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
16 | Getafe | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 20 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
18 | Espanyol | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 19 |
19 | Valencia | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |