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La Liga | Gameweek 21
Jan 27, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Celta Vigo logo

Alaves
1 - 1
Celta Vigo

Kike (6' pen.)
Abqar (78'), Kike (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Duran Fernandez (66')
Alonso (34'), Ristic (64'), Alvarez (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Betis 1-3 Alaves
Saturday, January 18 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Alaves 1-1 Celta Vigo

Celta have really struggled on their travels this season, losing seven of their nine matches, but Alaves have been unconvincing at home for most of the campaign, and we are expecting a tight match to finish level on Monday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
AlavesDrawCelta Vigo
34.64% (-1.049 -1.05) 27.58% (0.081 0.08) 37.78% (0.969 0.97)
Both teams to score 48.99% (-0.331 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.26% (-0.376 -0.38)56.74% (0.377 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.31% (-0.303 -0.3)77.69% (0.30500000000001 0.31)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.03% (-0.85600000000001 -0.86)30.97% (0.857 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.73% (-1.014 -1.01)67.28% (1.015 1.02)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.97% (0.39700000000001 0.4)29.03% (-0.397 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.07% (0.489 0.49)64.93% (-0.48899999999999 -0.49)
Score Analysis
    Alaves 34.63%
    Celta Vigo 37.78%
    Draw 27.58%
AlavesDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 10.53% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 7.64% (-0.168 -0.17)
2-0 @ 6.18% (-0.205 -0.21)
3-1 @ 2.98% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-0 @ 2.41% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-2 @ 1.85% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 34.63%
1-1 @ 13.03% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.99% (0.128 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.58%
0-1 @ 11.12% (0.28 0.28)
1-2 @ 8.06% (0.103 0.1)
0-2 @ 6.88% (0.247 0.25)
1-3 @ 3.32% (0.079 0.08)
0-3 @ 2.84% (0.132 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 37.78%

How you voted: Alaves vs Celta Vigo

Alaves
44.8%
Draw
28.4%
Celta Vigo
26.9%
67
Head to Head
Aug 16, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 1
Celta Vigo
2-1
Alaves
Swedberg (66'), Aspas (84')
Aspas (9'), Giraldez Gonzalez (61'), Rodriguez (87')
Kike (17')
Conechny (45+2'), Rodriguez (90+5')
Apr 27, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 33
Alaves
3-0
Celta Vigo
Simeone (48'), Guridi (54'), Benavidez (86')
Duarte (19'), Blanco (22'), Sivera (78')

Perez (21'), Mingueza (85'), Alvarez (88')
Sep 28, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 7
Celta Vigo
1-1
Alaves
Marin (35' og.)
de la Torre (15'), Aspas (52'), Beltran (52'), Strand Larsen (69'), Perez (75')
de la Torre (68')
Omorodion (73')
Lopez (78'), Rioja (90+5'), Marin (90+2')
May 7, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 35
Celta Vigo
4-0
Alaves
Galhardo (6'), Aspas (34', 66'), Navarro (57' og.)
Cervi (42')

N'Diaye (24'), Pina (38'), Mendez (53')
Navarro (64')
Nov 27, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 15
Alaves
1-2
Celta Vigo
Joselu (21')
Duarte (32'), Lejeune (38'), Aguirregabiria (57')
Mina (11'), Aspas (70')
Mendez (50'), Tapia (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid21154250203049
2Atletico MadridAtletico21136235142145
3Barcelona21133559243542
4Athletic Bilbao21117331181340
5Villarreal219753932734
6Mallorca219391926-730
7Rayo Vallecano217862524129
8GironaGirona218492929028
9Real Sociedad218491717028
10Real BetisBetis217772326-328
11Osasuna216962530-527
12Sevilla217682430-627
13Celta Vigo2174103033-325
14Getafe215881717023
15Las PalmasLas Palmas2165102634-823
16Leganes215881929-1023
17AlavesAlaves2156102533-821
18Espanyol2155112033-1320
19Valencia2137112036-1616
20Real ValladolidValladolid2143141442-2815


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