Serie A | Gameweek 22
Jan 27, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Genoa2 - 0Monza
FT(HT: 0-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Roma 3-1 Genoa
Friday, January 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Friday, January 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Goals
for
for
18
Last Game: Bologna 3-1 Monza
Saturday, January 18 at 2pm in Serie A
Saturday, January 18 at 2pm in Serie A
Goals
for
for
20
We said: Genoa 1-0 Monza
Genoa have kept six clean sheets in their last 11 league games, so an ailing Monza side may not break through the Rossoblu's back line. Depleted by injuries and low on confidence, the Brianzoli are set for another away defeat. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 42.59%. A win for Monza had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.39%) and 2-1 (8.29%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Monza |
42.59% ( 0.58) | 28.41% ( 0.37) | 29% ( -0.95) |
| Both teams to score 44.96% ( -1.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.02% ( -1.59) | 60.97% ( 1.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.02% ( -1.2) | 80.97% ( 1.2) |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.66% ( -0.45) | 28.34% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.93% ( -0.56) | 64.07% ( 0.56) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.75% ( -1.6) | 37.25% ( 1.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.96% ( -1.62) | 74.03% ( 1.61) |
| Score Analysis |
Genoa 42.59%
Monza 29%
Draw 28.39%
| Genoa | Draw | Monza |
| 1-0 @ 13.31% ( 0.62) 2-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.29)2-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.66% Total : 42.59% | 1-1 @ 13.14% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 10.55% ( 0.6)2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.22)Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.39% | 0-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.26)0-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.14)Other @ 1.76% Total : 29% |
How you voted: Genoa vs Monza
Genoa
78.3%Draw
13.3%Monza
8.3%60
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Monza
0-1
Genoa
Mar 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Genoa
2-3
Monza
Dec 10, 2023 2pm
