Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 53.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Vitebsk had a probability of 21.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Vitebsk win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtyor Soligorsk would win this match.