Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 54.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Mechelen had a probability of 21.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Mechelen win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.