Brasileiro | Gameweek 1
Apr 15, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid
Bragantino2 - 1Bahia
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bragantino and Bahia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tacuary 1-4 Bragantino
Friday, April 7 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Friday, April 7 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Athletico PR 2-1 Bahia
Wednesday, July 13 at 12.30am in Copa do Brasil
Wednesday, July 13 at 12.30am in Copa do Brasil
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 52.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 22.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bragantino | Draw | Bahia |
52.45% ( -0) | 24.8% ( 0) | 22.74% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 50% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.08% ( 0) | 51.91% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.33% ( 0) | 73.66% ( -0) |
| Bragantino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.23% ( 0) | 19.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.19% ( 0) | 51.81% |
| Bahia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.32% ( 0) | 37.68% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.54% ( 0) | 74.46% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
Bragantino 52.45%
Bahia 22.74%
Draw 24.8%
| Bragantino | Draw | Bahia |
| 1-0 @ 12.07% 2-0 @ 9.79% ( -0)2-1 @ 9.55% 3-0 @ 5.29% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.16% 3-2 @ 2.52% 4-0 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 2.09% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.81% Total : 52.45% | 1-1 @ 11.78% 0-0 @ 7.45% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0)Other @ 0.91% Total : 24.8% | 0-1 @ 7.27% 1-2 @ 5.75% 0-2 @ 3.55% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.63% Total : 22.74% |
Form Guide
